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IMD Forecast Excess Rainfall in July as El Nio Retreats

2 Jul 2024 3:13 pm
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MUMBAI, 2 Jul (Commoditiescontrol): The India Meteorological Department (IMD) today announced that India is poised to receive above-normal rainfall in July, surpassing the long-period average by 106%. This positive outlook comes as El Niño conditions, often associated with drier weather patterns, have transitioned to a neutral state. The IMD further predicts that La Niña conditions, known for boosting rainfall, are likely to develop during August and September.

According to the weather bureau, the average rainfall for July is approximately 28.04 cm. While most of the country is expected to experience normal to above-normal precipitation, certain regions in the northeast, northwest, east, and south peninsular India might receive below-normal rainfall.

Despite the encouraging forecast, the IMD cautioned that while abundant rainfall benefits agriculture and water resources, it also poses risks such as flooding, landslides, and public health challenges. Notably, the IMD has warned that Delhi may experience heavy to extremely heavy rainfall in July, following a record-breaking 228.1 mm rainfall on June 28th.

Regarding temperatures, most of the country is expected to see normal to below-normal maximum temperatures, with some exceptions in central India, east and northeast regions, and along the western coast. Minimum temperatures are predicted to be above normal in many areas. In a stark contrast to the upcoming wet July, the IMD noted that northwest India experienced its warmest June since 1901.

The IMD has also indicated that the southwest monsoon is expected to cover the remaining parts of the country, mainly Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan, in the next few days. The agency will continue to monitor the evolving weather patterns and provide updated forecasts to ensure preparedness for any potential challenges associated with the monsoon season.

(By Commoditiescontrol Bureau; +91 98201 30172)


       
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