New Delhi, 2 August (Commodities control) This is a good news for the farmers that monsoon is likely to be normal in the second half of the season during August and September. With prediction of normal monsoon, it is expected that the sowing of crops in the ongoing kharif season will gather pace in coming days
Rainfall over the country as a whole during the second half (August to September period) of the 2021 southwest monsoon season is most likely to be normal (95 to 105 % of Long Period Average (LPA)) with a tendency to be in the positive side of the normal, India Meteorological Department said on Monday.
In the first half of the monsoon season ( during June and July}. the country received 465.6 mm rainfall, down 1 percent from normal rains of 470.7 mm during the early two months of monsoon.
According to the weather forecaster, monthly rainfall for the 2021 August over the country as a whole is most likely to be normal (94 to 106 % of Long Period Average (LPA)), said IMD.
The latest global model forecasts indicate that the prevailing neutral ENSO conditions are likely to continue over the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
However, sea surface temperatures over central and east equatorial Pacific Ocean is showing cooling tendency and there is an increased possibility of re-emergence of the La Nina condition in the end of the monsoon season or thereafter.
Prevailing negative IOD conditions over the Indian Ocean are likely to continue during remaining part of the monsoon season.
As the changes in the sea surface temperature (SST) conditions over the Pacific and the Indian Oceans are known to influence the Indian monsoon, IMD is carefully monitoring the evolution of sea surface conditions over these Ocean basins.
IMD will issue the forecast for September month rainfall towards end of August or beginning of September 2021.
(By Commodities control Bureau; +91 9820130172)
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